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cmd\u4e0b\u6572find -exec\/xargs\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5230LISP\u91cc\u5199visitor\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5230Python\u91cc\u5199GetSubString(index1, index2, 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& developer\uff0c\u4e5f\u90fd\u4f1a\u72af\u8fd9\u79cd\u9519\u8bef\uff1a\u4e00\u65e6\u51fa\u4e86\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5927\u5b98\u513f\u4f1a\u5c06\u95ee\u9898\u63a8\u7ed9\u5c0f\u5b98\u513f\uff0c\u5c0f\u5b98\u513f\u63a8\u7ed9\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u63a8\u7ed9\u5916\u90e8\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8bed\u8a00\u6709\u7f3a\u9677\uff0cOS\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0cSDK\u51faBUG\uff0cPartner\u8fd8\u5ef6\u671f\u2026\u2026\u7b49\u7b49\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6700\u540e\u6210\u529f\u4e86\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u5219\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201c\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5e72\u7684\u6d3b\u513f\u201d\uff0cCEO\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201c\u90a3\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u9886\u5bfc\u6709\u65b9\u201d\uff0c\u4e2d\u5c42managers\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201cCEO\u4ec0\u4e48\u5b9e\u9645\u4e8b\u60c5\u90fd\u4e0d\u7ba1\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u4eec\u5168\u90fd\u592a\u61d2\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\uff08\u56e0\u4e3a\uff09\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6700\u96be\u505a\u4eba\u7684\u4e2d\u5c42\u7ecf\u7406\u4eec\u5728\u4e0d\u505c\u5730push\u201d\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8d8b\u5229\u907f\u5bb3\u672c\u80fd\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e2d\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u4f1a\u6709\u5c06\u201c\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u201d\u5f53\u201c\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\u201d\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u653e\u7f6e\u5f88\u4e45\u7684\u98df\u7269\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u90fd\u8150\u8d25\u53d8\u8d28\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u4f1a\u9009\u62e9\u6254\u6389\u3002\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5730\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u5c06\u65e2\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e5f\u5f53\u4f5c\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u9ed1\u591c\u91cc\u4f1a\u5f02\u5e38\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u201c\u9ed1\u591c\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u72af\u7f6a\u201d\u65e2\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\uff1b\u6216\u8005\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u522b\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u62ff\u7740\u5200\u5b50\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u662f\u201c\u4e0d\u8981\u4f24\u5bb3\u5230\u6211\u201d\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\u52a8\u7269\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f55\u5c1d\u4e0d\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7f9a\u7f8a\u4f1a\u8bf4\u8bdd\uff0c\u5b83\u5927\u6982\u4f1a\u8fd9\u6837\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u91cc\u95fb\u8d77\u6765\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u6211\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u8fd9\u91cc\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u559d\u8fc7\u6c34\u4e4b\u540e\u8d76\u7d27\u8dd1\u6389\u603b\u6ca1\u6709\u574f\u5904\u3002\u201d\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4e25\u683c\u6309\u903b\u8f91\u63a8\u7406\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u5462\uff1f\u6bd4\u5982\u4e00\u53ea\u8fd9\u6837\u601d\u8003\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u91cc\u95fb\u8d77\u6765\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d70\u5f00\u7684\u72ee\u5b50\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\uff1b\u2018\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\u2019\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u2018\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u2019\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u770b\u5230\u72ee\u5b50\u4e86\uff08\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u6211\u5c31\u4f1a\u9003\u8dd1\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u6211\u5c31\u5f85\u5728\u6cb3\u8fb9\u559d\u6c34\u2026\u2026\u201d\u7531\u4e8e\u8fdb\u5316\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u968f\u673a\u6027\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u5224\u65ad[vi]\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u66fe\u7ecf\u6709\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6837\u8bb2\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u706d\u7edd\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bd4\u8d77\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u201d\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6ca1\u6709\u751f\u5b58\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f9a\u7f8a\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u9009\u62e9\u662f\uff1a\u4e0d\u4e25\u683c\u9075\u5b88\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u6309\u7167\u201c\u672a\u6765\u9884\u671f\u6700\u5927\u5316\u201d\u548c\u201c\u672a\u6765\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u201d\u7684\u539f\u5219\u884c\u4e8b\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5408\u7406\u4e14\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u79cdrational choice in an uncertain world\uff08\u611f\u8c22Pongba\u63d0\u4f9b\uff09\u3002\u5728\u81ea\u7136\u9009\u62e9\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u540c\u6837\uff1a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u601d\u7ef4\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5929\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u540e\u5929\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3e\u51fa\u5f88\u591a\u5f88\u591a\u2026\u2026\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u672c\u80fd\u5730\u3001\u4e60\u60ef\u6210\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u521a\u521a\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\uff09\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\uff08\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\uff09\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8ba4\u77e5\u4e0a\u7684\u504f\u5dee\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u8bf4\u7406\u5e76\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4eba\u4e0d\u8ba4\u540c\u6211\u4e5f\u5f88\u6b63\u5e38\u3002\u6211\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u505a\u5230\u5145\u5206\u8bf4\u7406\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u4efd\u5927\u8111\u65e0\u6cd5\u771f\u6b63\u8bf4\u670d\u522b\u4eba\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u4efd\u5927\u8111\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4e24\u8005\u5728\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5171\u540c\u57fa\u7840\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f88\u591a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u504f\u5dee\u5217\u4e3e\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u6765\uff0c\u4e5f\u6b63\u662f\u6211\u5199\u6b64\u6587\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8981\u76f2\u76ee\u8d28\u7591\u6743\u5a01[vii]<br 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\u52a8\u7269\u8bd5\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8fd1\u4eb2\u9ed1\u7329\u7329\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5584\u4e8e\u7fa4\u4ea4\u7684\u77ee\u9ed1\u7329\u7329\u90fd\u6709\u610f\u8bc6<br \/>\n[ii] \u5b9e\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\u52a8\u7269\u4e5f\u662f\u7ecf\u5e38\u8fd0\u7528\u7c7b\u6bd4\u6cd5\u53bb\u63a2\u7d22<\/p>\n<p>[iii] \u5f02\u98df\u7656\u7684\u4e0d\u8ba1\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u4e2d\u533b\u4fe1\u5949\u8005\u670d\u7528\u201c\u4eba\u4e2d\u9ec4\u201d\u7684\u4e5f\u6682\u4e14\u4e0d\u7b97<\/p>\n<p>[iv] \u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8001\u4e00\u8f88\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u4e2d\uff0c\u7528\u8bd5\u9519\u6cd5\u53bb\u5b66\u4e60\u77e5\u8bc6\u3001\u53bb\u7f16\u7a0b\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5728\u6709\u4eba\u5728<\/p>\n<p>[v] \u51e1\u4e8b\u6709\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u5e74\u7eaa\u7a0d\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u4ee5\u56de\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u6478\u7740\u77f3\u5934\u8fc7\u6cb3\u201d\u2014\u201410\u4ebf\u4eba\u7684\u8bd5\u9519<\/p>\n<p>[vi] \u540c\u7406\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5224\u65ad\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u4f1a\u8fdb\u5316\u51fa\u4e00\u53ea\u201c\u559c\u7f8a\u7f8a\u201d\u548c\u201c\u7070\u592a\u72fc\u201d\u6765<\/p>\n<p>[vii] \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8981\u76f2\u76ee\u76f8\u4fe1\u6743\u5a01\u3002<\/p>\n<p>[viii] \u6240\u8c13\u4e3b\u6d41\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u754c<\/p>\n<p>[ix] 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\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u91d1\u79d1\u7389\u5f8b\u201d\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u4e00\u4e2a\u7fa4\u4f53\u6240\u5e7f\u6cdb\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u201c\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e8e\u771f\u7406\u201d\uff0c\u5982\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\uff0c1984\u2026\u2026\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u8fd9\u4e00\u7bc7\u62a5\u9053\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.gmw.cn\/content\/2007-05\/14\/content_605779.htm<\/p>\n<p>[xiii] 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choice in an uncertain world\uff08\u611f\u8c22Pongba\u63d0\u4f9b\uff09\u3002\u5728\u81ea\u7136\u9009\u62e9\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u540c\u6837\uff1a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u601d\u7ef4\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5929\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u540e\u5929\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002 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experiment\uff09\uff0c\u88ab\u540e\u4eba\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e86\u53cd\u9762\u5178\u578b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4eba\u7b11\u79f0\uff1a \u201c\u5982\u679c\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u81ea191x\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u9493\u9c7c\u4e3a\u4e1a\u5ea6\u8fc7\u4f59\u751f\uff0c\u5bf9\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u635f\u5931\u201d\u3002[ix] \u518d\u4e3e\u51e0\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u4e8b\u5b9e[x]\uff0c\u5b83\u548c\u591a\u6570\uff08\u672a\u53d7\u6b63\u786e\u6c7d\u8f66\u5b89\u5168\u6559\u80b2\u7684\uff09\u4eba\u7684\u76f4\u89c9\u76f8\u8fdd\u6096\uff1a a)\u4ec5\u4f7f\u7528\u5b89\u5168\u6c14\u56ca\u800c\u4e0d\u7cfb\u5b89\u5168\u5e26\uff0c\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u53d7\u4f24\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 b)\u5b89\u5168\u6c14\u56ca\u4ec5\u5728\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u5e26\u4e00\u8d77\u4f7f\u7528\u65f6\u624d\u80fd\u6700\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u633d\u6551\u751f\u547d\u3002 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& developer\uff0c\u4e5f\u90fd\u4f1a\u72af\u8fd9\u79cd\u9519\u8bef\uff1a\u4e00\u65e6\u51fa\u4e86\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5927\u5b98\u513f\u4f1a\u5c06\u95ee\u9898\u63a8\u7ed9\u5c0f\u5b98\u513f\uff0c\u5c0f\u5b98\u513f\u63a8\u7ed9\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u63a8\u7ed9\u5916\u90e8\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8bed\u8a00\u6709\u7f3a\u9677\uff0cOS\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0cSDK\u51faBUG\uff0cPartner\u8fd8\u5ef6\u671f\u2026\u2026\u7b49\u7b49\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6700\u540e\u6210\u529f\u4e86\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u5219\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201c\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5e72\u7684\u6d3b\u513f\u201d\uff0cCEO\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201c\u90a3\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u9886\u5bfc\u6709\u65b9\u201d\uff0c\u4e2d\u5c42managers\u4f1a\u8bf4\u201cCEO\u4ec0\u4e48\u5b9e\u9645\u4e8b\u60c5\u90fd\u4e0d\u7ba1\uff0c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u4eec\u5168\u90fd\u592a\u61d2\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\uff08\u56e0\u4e3a\uff09\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6700\u96be\u505a\u4eba\u7684\u4e2d\u5c42\u7ecf\u7406\u4eec\u5728\u4e0d\u505c\u5730push\u201d\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8d8b\u5229\u907f\u5bb3\u672c\u80fd\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e2d\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u4f1a\u6709\u5c06\u201c\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u201d\u5f53\u201c\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\u201d\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u653e\u7f6e\u5f88\u4e45\u7684\u98df\u7269\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u90fd\u8150\u8d25\u53d8\u8d28\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u4f1a\u9009\u62e9\u6254\u6389\u3002\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5730\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u5c06\u65e2\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e5f\u5f53\u4f5c\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u9ed1\u591c\u91cc\u4f1a\u5f02\u5e38\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u201c\u9ed1\u591c\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u72af\u7f6a\u201d\u65e2\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\uff1b\u6216\u8005\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u522b\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u62ff\u7740\u5200\u5b50\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u662f\u201c\u4e0d\u8981\u4f24\u5bb3\u5230\u6211\u201d\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\u52a8\u7269\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f55\u5c1d\u4e0d\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7f9a\u7f8a\u4f1a\u8bf4\u8bdd\uff0c\u5b83\u5927\u6982\u4f1a\u8fd9\u6837\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u91cc\u95fb\u8d77\u6765\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u6211\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u8fd9\u91cc\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u559d\u8fc7\u6c34\u4e4b\u540e\u8d76\u7d27\u8dd1\u6389\u603b\u6ca1\u6709\u574f\u5904\u3002\u201d\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4e25\u683c\u6309\u903b\u8f91\u63a8\u7406\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u5462\uff1f\u6bd4\u5982\u4e00\u53ea\u8fd9\u6837\u601d\u8003\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u91cc\u95fb\u8d77\u6765\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d70\u5f00\u7684\u72ee\u5b50\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\uff1b\u2018\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u7684\u5473\u9053\u2019\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u2018\u6709\u72ee\u5b50\u2019\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u770b\u5230\u72ee\u5b50\u4e86\uff08\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u6211\u5c31\u4f1a\u9003\u8dd1\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u6211\u5c31\u5f85\u5728\u6cb3\u8fb9\u559d\u6c34\u2026\u2026\u201d\u7531\u4e8e\u8fdb\u5316\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u968f\u673a\u6027\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u5224\u65ad[vi]\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u66fe\u7ecf\u6709\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6837\u8bb2\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u706d\u7edd\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bd4\u8d77\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u201d\u7684\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7f9a\u7f8a\u6ca1\u6709\u751f\u5b58\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f9a\u7f8a\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u9009\u62e9\u662f\uff1a\u4e0d\u4e25\u683c\u9075\u5b88\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u6309\u7167\u201c\u672a\u6765\u9884\u671f\u6700\u5927\u5316\u201d\u548c\u201c\u672a\u6765\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u201d\u7684\u539f\u5219\u884c\u4e8b\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5408\u7406\u4e14\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u79cdrational choice in an uncertain world\uff08\u611f\u8c22Pongba\u63d0\u4f9b\uff09\u3002\u5728\u81ea\u7136\u9009\u62e9\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u540c\u6837\uff1a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u601d\u7ef4\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5929\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u540e\u5929\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3e\u51fa\u5f88\u591a\u5f88\u591a\u2026\u2026\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u672c\u80fd\u5730\u3001\u4e60\u60ef\u6210\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u521a\u521a\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\uff09\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\uff08\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\uff09\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8ba4\u77e5\u4e0a\u7684\u504f\u5dee\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u8bf4\u7406\u5e76\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4eba\u4e0d\u8ba4\u540c\u6211\u4e5f\u5f88\u6b63\u5e38\u3002\u6211\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u505a\u5230\u5145\u5206\u8bf4\u7406\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u4efd\u5927\u8111\u65e0\u6cd5\u771f\u6b63\u8bf4\u670d\u522b\u4eba\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u4efd\u5927\u8111\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4e24\u8005\u5728\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5171\u540c\u57fa\u7840\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f88\u591a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u504f\u5dee\u5217\u4e3e\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u6765\uff0c\u4e5f\u6b63\u662f\u6211\u5199\u6b64\u6587\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8981\u76f2\u76ee\u8d28\u7591\u6743\u5a01[vii]<br 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\u52a8\u7269\u8bd5\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8fd1\u4eb2\u9ed1\u7329\u7329\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5584\u4e8e\u7fa4\u4ea4\u7684\u77ee\u9ed1\u7329\u7329\u90fd\u6709\u610f\u8bc6<br \/>\n[ii] \u5b9e\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\u52a8\u7269\u4e5f\u662f\u7ecf\u5e38\u8fd0\u7528\u7c7b\u6bd4\u6cd5\u53bb\u63a2\u7d22<\/p>\n<p>[iii] \u5f02\u98df\u7656\u7684\u4e0d\u8ba1\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u4e2d\u533b\u4fe1\u5949\u8005\u670d\u7528\u201c\u4eba\u4e2d\u9ec4\u201d\u7684\u4e5f\u6682\u4e14\u4e0d\u7b97<\/p>\n<p>[iv] \u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8001\u4e00\u8f88\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5458\u4e2d\uff0c\u7528\u8bd5\u9519\u6cd5\u53bb\u5b66\u4e60\u77e5\u8bc6\u3001\u53bb\u7f16\u7a0b\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5728\u6709\u4eba\u5728<\/p>\n<p>[v] \u51e1\u4e8b\u6709\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u5e74\u7eaa\u7a0d\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u4ee5\u56de\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u6478\u7740\u77f3\u5934\u8fc7\u6cb3\u201d\u2014\u201410\u4ebf\u4eba\u7684\u8bd5\u9519<\/p>\n<p>[vi] \u540c\u7406\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5224\u65ad\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u4f1a\u8fdb\u5316\u51fa\u4e00\u53ea\u201c\u559c\u7f8a\u7f8a\u201d\u548c\u201c\u7070\u592a\u72fc\u201d\u6765<\/p>\n<p>[vii] \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8981\u76f2\u76ee\u76f8\u4fe1\u6743\u5a01\u3002<\/p>\n<p>[viii] \u6240\u8c13\u4e3b\u6d41\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u754c<\/p>\n<p>[ix] 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\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u91d1\u79d1\u7389\u5f8b\u201d\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u4e00\u4e2a\u7fa4\u4f53\u6240\u5e7f\u6cdb\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u201c\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e8e\u771f\u7406\u201d\uff0c\u5982\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\uff0c1984\u2026\u2026\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u8fd9\u4e00\u7bc7\u62a5\u9053\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.gmw.cn\/content\/2007-05\/14\/content_605779.htm<\/p>\n<p>[xiii] 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choice in an uncertain world\uff08\u611f\u8c22Pongba\u63d0\u4f9b\uff09\u3002\u5728\u81ea\u7136\u9009\u62e9\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u4eba\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u540c\u6837\uff1a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u601d\u7ef4\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5929\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u540e\u5929\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002 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experiment\uff09\uff0c\u88ab\u540e\u4eba\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e86\u53cd\u9762\u5178\u578b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4eba\u7b11\u79f0\uff1a \u201c\u5982\u679c\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u81ea191x\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u9493\u9c7c\u4e3a\u4e1a\u5ea6\u8fc7\u4f59\u751f\uff0c\u5bf9\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u635f\u5931\u201d\u3002[ix] \u518d\u4e3e\u51e0\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u4e8b\u5b9e[x]\uff0c\u5b83\u548c\u591a\u6570\uff08\u672a\u53d7\u6b63\u786e\u6c7d\u8f66\u5b89\u5168\u6559\u80b2\u7684\uff09\u4eba\u7684\u76f4\u89c9\u76f8\u8fdd\u6096\uff1a a)\u4ec5\u4f7f\u7528\u5b89\u5168\u6c14\u56ca\u800c\u4e0d\u7cfb\u5b89\u5168\u5e26\uff0c\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u53d7\u4f24\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 b)\u5b89\u5168\u6c14\u56ca\u4ec5\u5728\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u5e26\u4e00\u8d77\u4f7f\u7528\u65f6\u624d\u80fd\u6700\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u633d\u6551\u751f\u547d\u3002 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